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Liga Pro

Aug. 9, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Aucas Leones del Norte
Aucas L W L W W D
Leones del Norte D W D W W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Leones del Norte Aucas 0 - 1 April 17, 2026

Aucas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Away Orense SC 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Away Tecnico Universitario 0 - 1 Win
Jul 16, 26 Home Independiente del Valle 0 - 3 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Away Deportivo Cuenca 0 - 1 Win
Jul 8, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 1 - 0 Win
May 31, 26 Away Mushuc Runa SC 0 - 0 Draw

Leones del Norte Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 23, 26 Home Guayaquil City FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 18, 26 Away LDU de Quito 0 - 1 Win
Jul 15, 26 Home Deportivo Cuenca 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 10, 26 Home Universidad Catolica 1 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Libertad 1 - 3 Win
Jun 1, 26 Home Macara 1 - 1 Draw

Liga Pro Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Aucas 21 10 5 6 23 21 +2 35
7 Leones del Norte 21 7 7 7 22 21 +1 28

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Aucas to win
This prediction indicates that Aucas has a 57.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.13 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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