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Virsliga

July 26, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Auda BFC Daugavpils
Auda D L D W L D
BFC Daugavpils W L D W D D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
BFC Daugavpils Auda 0 - 1 May 26, 2026
Auda BFC Daugavpils 2 - 3 April 12, 2026
BFC Daugavpils Auda 1 - 0 October 5, 2025
Auda BFC Daugavpils 1 - 3 July 20, 2025
Auda BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 May 20, 2025
BFC Daugavpils Auda 2 - 1 April 4, 2025

Auda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Away Rīgas FS 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 29, 26 Home Riga 0 - 2 Loss
Jun 25, 26 Away Grobiņa 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 21, 26 Away Super Nova 0 - 2 Win
Jun 17, 26 Away Tukums 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 13, 26 Home FS Jelgava 1 - 1 Draw

BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 4, 26 Home FK Liepaja 3 - 1 Win
Jun 30, 26 Away Rīgas FS 3 - 1 Loss
Jun 25, 26 Home Riga 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Grobiņa 1 - 0 Win
Jun 16, 26 Home Super Nova 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Tukums 1 - 1 Draw

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Auda 22 12 4 6 37 26 +11 40
5 BFC Daugavpils 22 7 6 9 25 29 -4 27

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.26% likelihood that both Auda and BFC Daugavpils will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Auda to win
This prediction indicates that Auda has a 52.68% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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