Auda vs FS Jelgava Saturday 13th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Auda FS Jelgava

Auda W W W L L W

FS Jelgava D D L D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FS Jelgava	Auda	2 - 3	April 21, 2026
FS Jelgava	Auda	1 - 1	September 27, 2025
Auda	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	July 5, 2025
FS Jelgava	Auda	3 - 1	May 15, 2025
Auda	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	March 30, 2025
Auda	FS Jelgava	3 - 0	October 21, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	2 - 0	Win
May 26, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 1	Win
May 22, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 3	Loss
May 12, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Home	Grobiņa	7 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 1	Draw
May 21, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	4 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 2	Draw
May 11, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Super Nova	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Auda	16	11	1	4	32	20	+12	34
7	FS Jelgava	16	3	6	7	12	30	-18	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.83% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Auda has a 50.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.14 %

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