Auda vs Riga Monday 29th June 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Auda Riga

Auda D W L D W W

Riga D W W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Riga	Auda	4 - 1	May 12, 2026
Auda	Riga	1 - 2	March 20, 2026
Riga	Auda	6 - 0	September 13, 2025
Auda	Riga	1 - 3	June 27, 2025
Auda	Riga	1 - 3	May 5, 2025
Riga	Auda	2 - 2	March 10, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Super Nova	0 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Tukums	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	2 - 0	Win
May 26, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 25, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	2 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Ogre United	1 - 4	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Grobiņa	2 - 0	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Super Nova	3 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Riga	20	15	4	1	60	19	+41	49
3	Auda	20	12	2	6	36	24	+12	38

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that both Auda and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

This prediction indicates that Riga has a 59.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.81 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

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