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Virsliga

Sept. 20, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Auda Rīgas FS
Auda D W W L W W
Rīgas FS W D L W L D
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Rīgas FS Auda 1 - 1 July 4, 2026
Auda Rīgas FS 0 - 3 May 17, 2026
Rīgas FS Auda 0 - 1 April 4, 2026
Auda Rīgas FS 0 - 1 August 31, 2025
Rīgas FS Auda 1 - 0 June 22, 2025
Rīgas FS Auda 1 - 0 May 1, 2025

Auda Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Super Nova 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 25, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 0 Win
Aug 21, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 0 Win
Aug 13, 26 Away Dinamo Tirana 4 - 0 Loss
Aug 9, 26 Away FS Jelgava 0 - 1 Win
Aug 4, 26 Home Dinamo Tirana 1 - 0 Win

Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away Ogre United 0 - 3 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Riga 3 - 3 Draw
Aug 13, 26 Home FK Jablonec 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 10, 26 Home Grobiņa 6 - 1 Win
Aug 6, 26 Away FK Jablonec 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 26 Away Vestri 1 - 1 Draw

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Rīgas FS 27 22 3 2 68 20 +48 69
3 Auda 27 16 5 6 44 27 +17 53

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that both Auda and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 56.44% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.72 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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