Virsliga
Match Analysis
Auda
Super Nova
Auda
L
W
W
W
W
W
Super Nova
L
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Super Nova | Auda | 0 - 2 | June 21, 2026 |
| Super Nova | Auda | 1 - 2 | May 1, 2026 |
| Auda | Super Nova | 2 - 1 | March 8, 2026 |
| Auda | Super Nova | 3 - 2 | September 22, 2025 |
| Super Nova | Auda | 0 - 1 | July 1, 2025 |
| Super Nova | Auda | 1 - 1 | May 11, 2025 |
Auda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Dinamo Tirana | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Dinamo Tirana | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 30, 26 | Home | FCSB | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 23, 26 | Away | FCSB | 2 - 3 | Win |
Super Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 6, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | FS Jelgava | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 2 | Loss |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 26 | +13 | 46 |
| 7 | Super Nova | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 27 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Auda to win
This prediction indicates that Auda has a 66.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.24 %Most Likely Scorelines
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