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Serie C - Girone C

Aug. 23, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Audace Cerignola Nuova Cosenza
Audace Cerignola D D D L D L
Nuova Cosenza L D W L W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Nuova Cosenza Audace Cerignola 3 - 0 February 14, 2026
Audace Cerignola Nuova Cosenza 1 - 2 October 5, 2025

Audace Cerignola Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 3, 26 Away Crotone 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Benevento 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Team Altamura 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Casertana 4 - 1 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Home Latina 1 - 1 Draw
Mar 29, 26 Away Crotone 3 - 1 Loss

Nuova Cosenza Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 6, 26 Home Casarano 1 - 5 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Cavese 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Trapani 1905 1 - 0 Win
Apr 13, 26 Away AZ Picerno 3 - 1 Loss
Apr 4, 26 Home Foggia 1 - 0 Win
Mar 29, 26 Away Benevento 1 - 1 Draw

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Nuova Cosenza None None None None None None None None
None Audace Cerignola None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Audace Cerignola or Nuova Cosenza to win
This prediction indicates that Audace Cerignola has a 39.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.84 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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