Manchester City vs Atletico Madrid Sunday 09th August 2026 02:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Manchester City Atletico Madrid

Manchester City L D W W W D

Atletico Madrid L W W L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Manchester City	Atletico Madrid	1 - 2	July 30, 2023
Atletico Madrid	Manchester City	0 - 0	April 13, 2022
Manchester City	Atletico Madrid	1 - 0	April 5, 2022

Manchester City Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Home	Aston Villa	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Bournemouth	1 - 1	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Chelsea	0 - 1	Win
May 13, 26	Home	Crystal Palace	3 - 0	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Brentford	3 - 0	Win
May 4, 26	Away	Everton	3 - 3	Draw

Atletico Madrid Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 24, 26	Away	Villarreal	5 - 1	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Girona	1 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Osasuna	1 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Celta Vigo	0 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Away	Arsenal	1 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Valencia	0 - 2	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.52% likelihood that both Manchester City and Atletico Madrid will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Manchester City to win

This prediction indicates that Manchester City has a 67.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.72 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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