Austin vs Philadelphia Union Sunday 23rd August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Major League Soccer

Aug. 23, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Austin Philadelphia Union

Austin L L W W L L

Philadelphia Union W W W L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Austin	Philadelphia Union	2 - 2	March 17, 2024
Austin	Philadelphia Union	1 - 1	January 23, 2024
Philadelphia Union	Austin	3 - 2	January 21, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Colorado Rapids	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Houston Dynamo	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Seattle Sounders	3 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	4 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Club Queretaro	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	St. Louis City	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Atlanta United FC	3 - 2	Win
Jul 25, 26	Home	Seattle Sounders	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	New York Red Bulls	3 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Inter Miami	6 - 4	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	Columbus Crew	1 - 1	Draw
May 13, 26	Away	Orlando City SC	4 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
26	Austin	18	4	5	9	22	36	-14	17
27	Philadelphia Union	18	4	4	10	25	33	-8	16

This prediction indicates that Philadelphia Union has a 39.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.48 %

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