Major League Soccer
Match Analysis
Austin
Seattle Sounders
Austin
L
L
L
L
D
W
Seattle Sounders
L
L
W
D
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | Seattle Sounders | 2 - 1 | September 21, 2025 |
| Seattle Sounders | Austin | 2 - 0 | June 29, 2025 |
| Austin | Seattle Sounders | 0 - 1 | July 14, 2024 |
| Seattle Sounders | Austin | 0 - 0 | March 3, 2024 |
| Austin | Seattle Sounders | 1 - 2 | August 31, 2023 |
| Seattle Sounders | Austin | 1 - 2 | May 18, 2023 |
Austin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Club Queretaro | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | St. Louis City | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Away | San Diego | 5 - 0 | Loss |
| May 10, 26 | Away | Minnesota United FC | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 3, 26 | Home | St. Louis City | 2 - 0 | Win |
Seattle Sounders Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 25, 26 | Away | Los Angeles FC | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 17, 26 | Home | Los Angeles Galaxy | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 14, 26 | Home | San Jose Earthquakes | 3 - 2 | Win |
| May 10, 26 | Home | San Diego | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Sporting Kansas City | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | FC Dallas | 2 - 1 | Win |
Major League Soccer Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +7 | 24 |
| 26 | Austin | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 31 | -12 | 14 |
Predictions
Seattle Sounders to win
This prediction indicates that Seattle Sounders has a 47.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.45 %Most Likely Scorelines
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