Austria Vienna vs FK Liepaja Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Austria Vienna FK Liepaja

Austria Vienna D D W L W W

FK Liepaja L L L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 8, 26	Home	Dunajska Streda	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Debreceni VSC	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Away	Parndorf	0 - 4	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Lask Linz	0 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Rapid Vienna	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	TSV Hartberg	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Home	Dečić	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 9, 26	Away	Dečić	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Ogre United	4 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that Austria Vienna has a 66.05% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.53 %

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