Serie B
Match Analysis
Avai
Vila Nova
Avai
W
W
W
L
L
W
Vila Nova
D
W
W
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vila Nova | Avai | 2 - 0 | May 17, 2026 |
| Vila Nova | Avai | 2 - 2 | November 8, 2025 |
| Avai | Vila Nova | 1 - 1 | July 19, 2025 |
| Avai | Vila Nova | 3 - 0 | October 26, 2024 |
| Vila Nova | Avai | 2 - 1 | July 14, 2024 |
| Vila Nova | Avai | 1 - 1 | August 12, 2023 |
Avai Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Ponte Preta | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Sport Recife | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | CRB | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Juventude | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | America Mineiro | 2 - 1 | Win |
Vila Nova Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Operario-PR | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Ponte Preta | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Atletico Goianiense | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sport Recife | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | CRB | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | Win |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Vila Nova | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35 | 25 | +10 | 41 |
| 16 | Avai | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 29 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Avai to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Avai has a 37.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.77 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.95% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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