Avangard Kursk vs Kaluga Wednesday 26th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Cup

Avangard Kursk

Aug. 26, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Kaluga

Match Analysis

Avangard Kursk Kaluga

Avangard Kursk D L L L L D

Kaluga W L D W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Avangard Kursk	Kaluga	1 - 2	August 19, 2020

Avangard Kursk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 12, 26	Home	Kristall MEZ	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 8, 26	Away	Chernomorets	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 21, 25	Home	Broke Boys	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 24	Home	Orel	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 23, 23	Away	Salyut-Belgorod	2 - 0	Loss
Mar 24, 23	Home	Metallurg Lipetsk	0 - 0	Draw

Kaluga Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 12, 26	Home	Iskra Smolensk	5 - 0	Win
Feb 21, 26	Home	Urozhay	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 15, 26	Home	Torpedo Vladimir	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 15, 26	Home	Astrakhan	3 - 2	Win
Feb 8, 26	Home	Dinamo Vologda	1 - 0	Win
Feb 1, 26	Home	Torpedo Miass	4 - 1	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.62% likelihood that both Avangard Kursk and Kaluga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Avangard Kursk or Kaluga to win

This prediction indicates that Avangard Kursk has a 40.46% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.31 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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