Serie B
Match Analysis
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
W
L
L
D
L
W
Palermo
W
W
L
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo | Avellino | 2 - 0 | April 5, 2026 |
| Avellino | Palermo | 2 - 2 | December 20, 2025 |
| Avellino | Palermo | 1 - 2 | March 13, 2022 |
| Palermo | Avellino | 1 - 1 | October 31, 2021 |
| Avellino | Palermo | 1 - 0 | May 26, 2021 |
| Palermo | Avellino | 1 - 0 | May 23, 2021 |
Avellino Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Vicenza Virtus | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Arezzo | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Monza | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Torino | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Lazio | 6 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Sambenedettese | 0 - 5 | Win |
Palermo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Juve Stabia | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 17, 26 | Home | Lecce | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Melbourne City | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Iraklis 1908 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | FC Nurnberg | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Palermo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 | Avellino | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.78% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Palermo to win
This prediction indicates that Palermo has a 52.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.74 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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