Victoria NPL
Match Analysis
Avondale
Preston Lions
Avondale
W
W
L
W
W
D
Preston Lions
D
D
W
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Avondale | Preston Lions | 2 - 3 | July 4, 2026 |
| Preston Lions | Avondale | 2 - 1 | March 20, 2026 |
| Preston Lions | Avondale | 1 - 1 | June 22, 2025 |
| Avondale | Preston Lions | 3 - 1 | March 15, 2025 |
Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Hume City | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Altona Magic | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Sunshine Georgies | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Heidelberg United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Melbourne City II | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | St. Albans Saints | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Altona Magic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Dandenong City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | Melbourne City II | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Dandenong Thunder | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Green Gully | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Bentleigh Greens | 1 - 0 | Win |
Victoria NPL Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Preston Lions | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 40 | 18 | +22 | 50 |
| 4 | Avondale | 25 | 14 | 2 | 9 | 63 | 34 | +29 | 44 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.66% likelihood that both Avondale and Preston Lions will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Avondale to win
This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 52.93% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.02 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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