Ayr Utd vs Edinburgh City Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Ayr Utd Edinburgh City

Ayr Utd W W L L L W

Edinburgh City L D L D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ayr Utd	Edinburgh City	3 - 0	July 13, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Home	Dumbarton	3 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Glenafton Athletic	3 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Home	ST Johnstone	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Airdrie United	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Ross County	2 - 1	Loss
Apr 11, 26	Home	Arbroath	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 30, 26	Away	Raith Rovers	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Gala Fairydean Rovers	3 - 3	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Brora Rangers	2 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Brora Rangers	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Dumbarton	5 - 0	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	Forfar Athletic	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Edinburgh City	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Ayr Utd	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.91% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ayr Utd has a 60.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.77 %

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