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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

AZ Picerno Catania
AZ Picerno W W D L W W
Catania L L L D W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Catania AZ Picerno 1 - 2 April 6, 2026
AZ Picerno Catania 0 - 1 November 29, 2025
AZ Picerno Catania 1 - 1 January 19, 2025
Catania AZ Picerno 0 - 0 September 14, 2024
AZ Picerno Catania 1 - 0 February 6, 2024
Catania AZ Picerno 2 - 0 September 17, 2023

AZ Picerno Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Away Scafatese 0 - 2 Win
Aug 23, 26 Home Savoia 3 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Sorrento 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away Salernitana 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 13, 26 Home Nuova Cosenza 3 - 1 Win
Apr 6, 26 Away Catania 1 - 2 Win

Catania Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Away SS Monopoli 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Inter U23 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 14, 26 Away Parma 2 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Vicenza Virtus 1 - 1 Draw
May 27, 26 Home Ascoli 2 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Ascoli 4 - 0 Loss

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 AZ Picerno 2 2 0 0 5 2 +3 6
16 Catania 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
AZ Picerno to win
This prediction indicates that AZ Picerno has a 45.36% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.43 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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