Primera División RFEF - Group 1 logo

Primera División RFEF - Group 1

Sept. 13, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Barakaldo Extremadura 1924
Barakaldo L D W W L W
Extremadura 1924 D L W D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Barakaldo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Portugalete 2 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Celta de Vigo II 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Real Avilés 1 - 4 Win
May 9, 26 Home Mérida AD 2 - 0 Win
May 1, 26 Away Tenerife 2 - 0 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Home Lugo 3 - 0 Win

Extremadura 1924 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away CD Coria 2 - 2 Draw
Dec 4, 25 Home Sevilla 1 - 2 Loss
Oct 28, 25 Home Las Palmas 3 - 1 Win
Aug 23, 25 Away Badajoz 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 13, 25 Away Puebla 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 10, 25 Away Don Benito 0 - 2 Win

Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Extremadura 1924 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Barakaldo 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Barakaldo to win
This prediction indicates that Barakaldo has a 44.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.18 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.94% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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