Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Barakaldo
Real Avilés
Barakaldo
W
L
D
L
D
W
Real Avilés
W
L
L
W
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Avilés | Barakaldo | 1 - 4 | May 17, 2026 |
| Barakaldo | Real Avilés | 1 - 2 | December 7, 2025 |
| Barakaldo | Real Avilés | 1 - 4 | August 17, 2024 |
Barakaldo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 26 | Home | Extremadura 1924 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | CD Coria | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Portugalete | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Real Avilés | 1 - 4 | Win |
Real Avilés Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Unionistas de Salamanca | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Athletic Club II | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Pontevedra | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Sporting Gijón II | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Mosconia | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 13, 26 | Away | Racing Ferrol | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Barakaldo | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 18 | Real Avilés | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Barakaldo to win
This prediction indicates that Barakaldo has a 46.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.38 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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