Primera División RFEF - Group 1
Match Analysis
Lugo
CD Coria
Lugo
W
W
L
D
D
W
CD Coria
D
W
L
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Lugo Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Ourense CF | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Coruxo | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Deportivo La Coruna | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Celta de Vigo II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 23, 26 | Home | Arenteiro | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Celta de Vigo II | 0 - 1 | Win |
CD Coria Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Extremadura 1924 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Valladolid | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Córdoba II | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Oct 30, 24 | Home | Elche | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Dec 21, 22 | Home | Real Sociedad | 0 - 5 | Loss |
Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | CD Coria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Lugo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.38% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Lugo to win
This prediction indicates that Lugo has a 44.23% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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