League One
Match Analysis
Barnsley
Milton Keynes Dons
Barnsley
D
L
L
W
W
W
Milton Keynes Dons
D
D
D
L
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milton Keynes Dons | Barnsley | 4 - 4 | April 29, 2023 |
| Barnsley | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 - 1 | November 19, 2022 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Barnsley | 2 - 0 | January 24, 2015 |
| Barnsley | Milton Keynes Dons | 3 - 5 | September 13, 2014 |
| Milton Keynes Dons | Barnsley | 1 - 3 | February 16, 2013 |
Barnsley Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 26 | Away | Peterborough | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Plymouth | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Stevenage | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Blackpool | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Leyton Orient | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 25, 26 | Home | Crewe | 3 - 2 | Win |
Milton Keynes Dons Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 17, 26 | Away | AFC Wimbledon | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | Peterborough | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Wycombe | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Sep 2, 26 | Away | Wigan | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Leicester | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Huddersfield | 1 - 1 | Draw |
League One Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Barnsley | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 7 |
| 20 | Milton Keynes Dons | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 5 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.15% likelihood that both Barnsley and Milton Keynes Dons will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Barnsley to win
This prediction indicates that Barnsley has a 42.3% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.64 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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