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Challenge Cup

Aug. 11, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Berwick Rangers Hearts U21
Berwick Rangers L W L W L L
Hearts U21 L W L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Berwick Rangers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 27, 25 Home Nairn County 0 - 2 Loss
Jul 8, 25 Away Whitehill Welfare 1 - 5 Win
Oct 26, 24 Away Forfar Athletic 1 - 0 Loss
Sep 28, 24 Home Cupar Hearts 4 - 2 Win
Aug 13, 24 Away Dumbarton 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 30, 24 Home St. Mirren U21 2 - 3 Loss

Hearts U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Dec 16, 25 Home ST Johnstone 0 - 1 Loss
Nov 11, 25 Away Kelty Hearts 0 - 1 Win
Oct 11, 25 Away East Kilbride 3 - 2 Loss
Sep 23, 25 Away Queen of the South 2 - 3 Win
Sep 6, 25 Away Edinburgh City 4 - 2 Loss
Aug 26, 25 Away Dumbarton 1 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.55% likelihood that both Berwick Rangers and Hearts U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Hearts U21 to win
This prediction indicates that Hearts U21 has a 56.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.45 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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