BFC Daugavpils vs Grobiņa Saturday 20th June 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

BFC Daugavpils Grobiņa

BFC Daugavpils D D D L W L

Grobiņa W L L D L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grobiņa	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 1	May 2, 2026
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	0 - 1	March 7, 2026
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	3 - 2	September 15, 2025
BFC Daugavpils	Grobiņa	3 - 2	June 26, 2025
Grobiņa	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	May 4, 2025
Grobiņa	BFC Daugavpils	3 - 2	March 11, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 16, 26	Home	Super Nova	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 12, 26	Away	Tukums	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Draw
May 26, 26	Home	Auda	0 - 1	Loss
May 21, 26	Home	Ogre United	3 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	2 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 16, 26	Home	FK Liepaja	1 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Home	Rīgas FS	1 - 3	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Riga	2 - 0	Loss
May 25, 26	Away	Ogre United	1 - 1	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Super Nova	0 - 2	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 3	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	BFC Daugavpils	18	5	5	8	20	25	-5	20
8	Grobiņa	18	3	7	8	12	29	-17	16

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that BFC Daugavpils has a 35.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.37 %

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