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Virsliga

June 20, 2026 1 week, 2 days ago
1 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

BFC Daugavpils Grobiņa
BFC Daugavpils D D D L W L
Grobiņa W L L D L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Grobiņa BFC Daugavpils 1 - 1 May 2, 2026
BFC Daugavpils Grobiņa 0 - 1 March 7, 2026
BFC Daugavpils Grobiņa 3 - 2 September 15, 2025
BFC Daugavpils Grobiņa 3 - 2 June 26, 2025
Grobiņa BFC Daugavpils 1 - 0 May 4, 2025
Grobiņa BFC Daugavpils 3 - 2 March 11, 2025

BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 16, 26 Home Super Nova 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 12, 26 Away Tukums 1 - 1 Draw
May 31, 26 Away FS Jelgava 1 - 1 Draw
May 26, 26 Home Auda 0 - 1 Loss
May 21, 26 Home Ogre United 3 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Away FK Liepaja 2 - 1 Loss

Grobiņa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 16, 26 Home FK Liepaja 1 - 0 Win
Jun 13, 26 Home Rīgas FS 1 - 3 Loss
May 29, 26 Away Riga 2 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Ogre United 1 - 1 Draw
May 20, 26 Home Super Nova 0 - 2 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Tukums 3 - 3 Draw

Virsliga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 BFC Daugavpils 18 5 5 8 20 25 -5 20
8 Grobiņa 18 3 7 8 12 29 -17 16

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

BFC Daugavpils to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that BFC Daugavpils has a 35.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 35.37 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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