Virsliga
Match Analysis
BFC Daugavpils
Riga
BFC Daugavpils
W
D
D
D
L
W
Riga
W
W
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 1 - 3 | May 8, 2026 |
| Riga | BFC Daugavpils | 4 - 2 | March 14, 2026 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 0 - 1 | September 29, 2025 |
| Riga | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | July 6, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Riga | 0 - 1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Riga | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 2 | March 29, 2025 |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 16, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 12, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 26, 26 | Home | Auda | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 21, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 3 - 1 | Win |
Riga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Rīgas FS | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 1 - 4 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 20, 26 | Away | Tukums | 1 - 3 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 19 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 60 | 19 | +41 | 48 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.92% likelihood that both BFC Daugavpils and Riga will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Riga to win
This prediction indicates that Riga has a 68.66% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.14 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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