Birmingham Legion vs Detroit City Friday 03rd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Birmingham Legion Detroit City

Birmingham Legion D D L D L D

Detroit City W D L D W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Birmingham Legion	Detroit City	1 - 1	May 18, 2025
Detroit City	Birmingham Legion	2 - 2	March 22, 2025
Birmingham Legion	Detroit City	0 - 1	August 17, 2024
Detroit City	Birmingham Legion	1 - 2	June 26, 2024
Birmingham Legion	Detroit City	2 - 3	August 27, 2023
Detroit City	Birmingham Legion	1 - 0	May 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Loudoun United	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Home	Louisville City	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Sporting JAX	2 - 6	Win
Jun 10, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	Loudoun United	0 - 0	Draw
May 21, 26	Home	Miami FC	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Detroit City	13	6	3	4	19	13	+6	21
22	Birmingham Legion	13	2	7	4	14	16	-2	13

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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