Championship logo

Championship
Birmingham logo Birmingham
Sept. 19, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Middlesbrough logo Middlesbrough

Match Analysis

Birmingham Middlesbrough
Birmingham D W L D D W
Middlesbrough D W W L W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Birmingham Middlesbrough 1 - 3 March 2, 2026
Middlesbrough Birmingham 2 - 1 November 8, 2025
Birmingham Middlesbrough 0 - 1 March 12, 2024
Middlesbrough Birmingham 1 - 0 October 21, 2023
Birmingham Middlesbrough 1 - 3 January 2, 2023
Middlesbrough Birmingham 1 - 0 October 5, 2022

Birmingham Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 1, 26 Home Southampton 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 28, 26 Away Wrexham 1 - 2 Win
Aug 25, 26 Home Brentford 1 - 6 Loss
Aug 22, 26 Home Bristol City 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 15, 26 Away Sheffield Utd 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 8, 26 Away Swansea 0 - 1 Win

Middlesbrough Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 2, 26 Away Burnley 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 29, 26 Home West Brom 3 - 1 Win
Aug 25, 26 Away Doncaster 1 - 3 Win
Aug 22, 26 Away Blackburn 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 15, 26 Home Lincoln 2 - 1 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Wrexham 1 - 0 Win

Championship Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Middlesbrough 3 2 0 1 6 4 +2 6
10 Birmingham 4 1 3 0 5 4 +1 6

Predictions

Birmingham to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Birmingham has a 36.7% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.38 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Championship

Burnley vs Bristol City 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › QPR vs Middlesbrough 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Sheffield Utd vs Norwich 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Portsmouth vs Cardiff 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Millwall vs Bolton 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Swansea vs Wrexham 16 hours from now · 10 p.m. › Lincoln vs Southampton 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › Stoke City vs Charlton 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. › West Brom vs Watford 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › West Ham vs Derby 11 hours from now · 5 p.m. › Preston vs Blackburn 9 hours from now · 2:30 p.m. ›