Liga Profesional Argentina
Match Analysis
Boca Juniors
Velez Sarsfield
Boca Juniors
W
W
W
L
D
D
Velez Sarsfield
W
L
D
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | 2 - 1 | February 9, 2026 |
| Boca Juniors | Velez Sarsfield | 3 - 4 | November 28, 2024 |
| Boca Juniors | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 0 | June 14, 2024 |
| Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | 1 - 2 | February 26, 2023 |
| Boca Juniors | Velez Sarsfield | 1 - 0 | October 2, 2022 |
| Velez Sarsfield | Boca Juniors | 0 - 0 | April 10, 2022 |
Boca Juniors Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | O'Higgins | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Sarmiento Junin | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Atletico Paranaense | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 29, 26 | Home | U. Catolica | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Cruzeiro | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Huracan | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Velez Sarsfield Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Instituto Cordoba | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 11, 26 | Home | Gimnasia L.P. | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 4, 26 | Home | Newells Old Boys | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 1, 26 | Home | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 27, 26 | Home | Union Santa Fe | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 20, 26 | Away | San Lorenzo | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Liga Profesional Argentina Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Boca Juniors | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 10 | +13 | 31 |
| 8 | Velez Sarsfield | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 19 | 13 | +6 | 31 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.89% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Boca Juniors to win
This prediction indicates that Boca Juniors has a 56.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.35 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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