Botafogo U20 vs Maricá U20 Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Carioca U20

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Botafogo U20 Maricá U20

Botafogo U20 L W W D D D

Maricá U20 L D W L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Botafogo U20	Maricá U20	0 - 1	October 11, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 16, 26	Away	Fluminense U20	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	Sampaio Correa FE U20	4 - 0	Win
Aug 27, 26	Home	Volta Redonda U20	4 - 1	Win
Aug 14, 26	Home	Madureira U20	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Away	Boavista U20	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 22, 25	Away	Vasco da Gama U20	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 12, 26	Home	Madureira U20	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 5, 26	Away	Boavista U20	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Home	Nova Iguaçu U20	3 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Portuguesa RJ U20	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Away	Sampaio Correa FE U20	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 26	Home	Vasco da Gama U20	1 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Botafogo U20	4	2	2	0	10	3	+7	8
7	Maricá U20	6	1	2	3	9	10	-1	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.9% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Botafogo U20 has a 65.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.33 %

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