National 1
Match Analysis
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Caen
Bourg-en-bresse 01
L
L
W
L
D
W
Caen
W
L
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bourg-en-bresse 01 | Caen | 0 - 2 | April 17, 2026 |
| Caen | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 1 - 0 | November 21, 2025 |
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Thionville Lusitanos | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Valenciennes | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Villefranche | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Dijon | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Grenoble | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Valenciennes | 1 - 0 | Win |
Caen Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Aubagne | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Thionville Lusitanos | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Valenciennes | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Dieppe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Al Wakrah | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Laval | 4 - 2 | Win |
National 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Caen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 | Bourg-en-bresse 01 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Caen to win
This prediction indicates that Caen has a 46.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.56 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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