Brechin vs Stenhousemuir Saturday 18th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Brechin Stenhousemuir

Brechin W L W W L L

Stenhousemuir L W D D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Brechin	Stenhousemuir	0 - 1	May 4, 2021
Brechin	Stenhousemuir	1 - 1	April 6, 2021
Stenhousemuir	Brechin	2 - 1	December 5, 2020
Stenhousemuir	Brechin	2 - 2	January 11, 2020
Brechin	Stenhousemuir	1 - 2	November 30, 2019
Stenhousemuir	Brechin	1 - 0	September 21, 2019

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	St. Andrews	2 - 1	Win
Nov 29, 25	Away	Kelty Hearts	2 - 0	Loss
Oct 25, 25	Home	Dundonald Bluebell	3 - 1	Win
Sep 27, 25	Away	Lochee United	1 - 3	Win
Jul 22, 25	Home	Cove Rangers	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Away	Spartans	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	0 - 1	Loss
May 13, 26	Away	Alloa Athletic	1 - 3	Win
May 9, 26	Home	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 5, 26	Away	Queen of the South	1 - 1	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Montrose	0 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Alloa Athletic	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Stenhousemuir	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Brechin	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.35% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Stenhousemuir has a 61.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.89 %

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