EFL Trophy
Match Analysis
Bristol Rovers
Chelsea U21
Bristol Rovers
L
D
D
L
W
W
Chelsea U21
D
D
L
L
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | Chelsea U21 | 1 - 2 | October 13, 2021 |
| Bristol Rovers | Chelsea U21 | 4 - 3 | November 18, 2020 |
| Bristol Rovers | Chelsea U21 | 2 - 1 | September 24, 2019 |
Bristol Rovers Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Peterborough | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 21, 26 | Away | Forest Green | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Portsmouth | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Leicester | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Salisbury | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Weston-super-Mare | 0 - 3 | Win |
Chelsea U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Cardiff City U21 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Oct 28, 25 | Away | Walsall | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Sep 23, 25 | Away | Northampton | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 25 | Away | Shrewsbury | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 25 | Away | Club Brugge II | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 19, 25 | Away | Bromley | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bristol Rovers to win
This prediction indicates that Bristol Rovers has a 51.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.29 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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