Manchester United vs Leeds Wednesday 12th August 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Manchester United Leeds

Manchester United W L W W D W

Leeds L L W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Manchester United	Leeds	1 - 2	April 13, 2026
Leeds	Manchester United	1 - 1	January 4, 2026
Manchester United	Leeds	0 - 0	July 19, 2025
Manchester United	Leeds	2 - 0	July 12, 2023
Leeds	Manchester United	0 - 2	February 12, 2023
Manchester United	Leeds	2 - 2	February 8, 2023

Manchester United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Rosenborg	0 - 5	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Wrexham	0 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Brighton	0 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Nottingham Forest	3 - 2	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Sunderland	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Liverpool	3 - 2	Win

Leeds Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Wrexham	3 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	West Ham	3 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Brighton	1 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Tottenham	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Burnley	3 - 1	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Chelsea	1 - 0	Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.19% likelihood that both Manchester United and Leeds will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Manchester United to win

This prediction indicates that Manchester United has a 58.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.91 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.91% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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