Primera A
Match Analysis
Bucaramanga
La Equidad
Bucaramanga
D
D
W
D
D
W
La Equidad
D
D
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| La Equidad | Bucaramanga | 0 - 0 | March 14, 2026 |
| Bucaramanga | La Equidad | 2 - 1 | November 9, 2025 |
| La Equidad | Bucaramanga | 1 - 4 | May 17, 2025 |
| La Equidad | Bucaramanga | 0 - 1 | September 28, 2024 |
| Bucaramanga | La Equidad | 4 - 0 | March 16, 2024 |
| Bucaramanga | La Equidad | 2 - 3 | October 25, 2023 |
Bucaramanga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 31, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Llaneros | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 0 - 1 | Win |
La Equidad Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Rionegro Aguilas | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Millonarios | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 28, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Cucuta | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | La Equidad | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 35 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 25 | 7 | 12 | 6 | 33 | 25 | +8 | 33 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.34% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Bucaramanga to win
This prediction indicates that Bucaramanga has a 54.71% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.09 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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