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FA Cup

Sept. 5, 2026 6 days, 10 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Burgess Hill Town Jersey Bulls
Burgess Hill Town L W L W L W
Jersey Bulls L D W W W L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Burgess Hill Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Away Dover 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 14, 26 Home Sevenoaks Town 2 - 1 Win
Sep 13, 25 Home Farnham Town 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 31, 25 Away Wokingham Town 1 - 5 Win
Sep 14, 24 Home Amersham Town 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 31, 24 Home AFC Croydon Athletic 2 - 1 Win

Jersey Bulls Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 16, 25 Away Worthing 5 - 0 Loss
Sep 13, 25 Home Worthing 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 30, 25 Away Burnham 0 - 3 Win
Aug 16, 25 Home Fisher 2 - 0 Win
Aug 2, 25 Home Erith & Belvedere 5 - 0 Win
Jul 20, 24 Home Stevenage 0 - 3 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.02% likelihood that both Burgess Hill Town and Jersey Bulls will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Burgess Hill Town to win
This prediction indicates that Burgess Hill Town has a 48.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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