Segunda División
Match Analysis
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
Burgos
L
W
D
L
W
D
AD Ceuta FC
L
L
W
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burgos | AD Ceuta FC | 1 - 1 | April 1, 2026 |
| AD Ceuta FC | Burgos | 1 - 0 | November 29, 2025 |
Burgos Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Sporting Gijon | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | Cordoba | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cultural Leonesa | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Athletic Club | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Unionistas de Salamanca | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Athletic Club II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
AD Ceuta FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Las Palmas | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | FC Andorra | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Malaga | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Cadiz | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Sevilla | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Juventud Torremolinos | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Segunda División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Burgos | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -6 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Burgos to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Burgos has a 42.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.84 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.61% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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