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Premier League
Caernarfon Town logo Caernarfon Town
Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS
Flint Town United logo Flint Town United

Match Analysis

Caernarfon Town Flint Town United
Caernarfon Town W L W L L W
Flint Town United L L L W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Caernarfon Town Flint Town United 1 - 1 December 5, 2025
Flint Town United Caernarfon Town 2 - 5 August 22, 2025
Caernarfon Town Flint Town United 3 - 0 January 14, 2025
Flint Town United Caernarfon Town 1 - 2 September 25, 2024
Flint Town United Caernarfon Town 2 - 3 April 19, 2023
Caernarfon Town Flint Town United 2 - 2 February 24, 2023

Caernarfon Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Colwyn Bay 3 - 0 Win
Aug 7, 26 Home Penybont 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 2, 26 Away GAP Connah S Quay FC 1 - 2 Win
Jul 16, 26 Away FC Levadia Tallinn 5 - 0 Loss
Jul 9, 26 Home FC Levadia Tallinn 0 - 5 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away Glentoran 1 - 2 Win

Flint Town United Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Cambrian & Clydach 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Home Barry Town 2 - 3 Loss
Jul 31, 26 Away Llandudno 3 - 2 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Rhyl 3 - 2 Win
Apr 18, 26 Away Cardiff MET 2 - 2 Draw
Apr 3, 26 Home Haverfordwest County AFC 0 - 1 Loss

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
11 Caernarfon Town 2 1 0 1 3 3 0 3
13 Flint Town United 3 0 0 3 4 7 -3 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.7% likelihood that both Caernarfon Town and Flint Town United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Caernarfon Town to win
This prediction indicates that Caernarfon Town has a 58.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 64.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Premier League

Trefelin vs Caernarfon Town 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Penybont vs Llandudno 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Holywell vs Barry Town 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Haverfordwest County AFC vs Cambrian & Clydach 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Cardiff MET vs The New Saints 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UK 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. › Flint Town United vs Briton Ferry 15 hours from now · 9:45 p.m. ›