III Liga - Group 3
Match Analysis
Carina Gubin
Barycz Sułów
Carina Gubin
L
L
D
L
W
D
Barycz Sułów
W
L
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Barycz Sułów with a 46% probability. Barycz Sułów has a modest quality edge and strong recent form, while Carina Gubin is coming off poor recent form, despite both teams having similar rest. The model also suggests a 57% chance that both teams will score and a 60% chance that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match, indicating an expectation of a competitive and open game.
Carina Gubin Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Zaglebie Sosnowiec | 0 - 4 | Loss |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | ROW Rybnik | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Warta Gorzów | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Miedź Legnica II | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Stilon Gorzów | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Barycz Sułów Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | ROW Rybnik | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Karkonosze Jelenia Góra | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Warta Gorzów | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Miedź Legnica II | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Kluczbork | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Górnik Polkowice | 2 - 1 | Win |
III Liga - Group 3 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Barycz Sułów | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 16 | Carina Gubin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.77% likelihood that both Carina Gubin and Barycz Sułów will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Barycz Sułów to win
This prediction indicates that Barycz Sułów has a 45.81% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.82 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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