Carlisle vs AFC Hornchurch Saturday 22nd August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

National League

Carlisle

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

AFC Hornchurch

Match Analysis

Carlisle AFC Hornchurch

Carlisle W L W D W W

AFC Hornchurch W L W W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Derby County U21	0 - 3	Win
Jul 28, 26	Home	Salford City	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Away	Darlington 1883	2 - 4	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Boreham Wood	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Brackley Town	3 - 0	Win
Apr 18, 26	Away	Truro City	0 - 1	Win

AFC Hornchurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Coventry City U21	2 - 0	Win
Jul 28, 26	Away	Enfield Town	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Tottenham Hotspur U21	3 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Norwich City U21	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Millwall U21	3 - 0	Win

National League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	AFC Hornchurch	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Carlisle	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.66% likelihood that both Carlisle and AFC Hornchurch will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Carlisle to win

This prediction indicates that Carlisle has a 46.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.47 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.09% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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National League

Match Analysis

Carlisle Form (Last 6 Matches)

AFC Hornchurch Form (Last 6 Matches)

National League Table

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

Carlisle to win

Over 1.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals

Most Likely Scorelines

Comments

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