FA Cup
Match Analysis
Carshalton Athletic
Chertsey Town
Carshalton Athletic
D
D
L
L
W
L
Chertsey Town
D
W
W
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Carshalton Athletic have been struggling with poor recent form, whereas Chertsey Town arrive with strong recent form. Despite the two sides being closely matched in overall quality, the model predicts a home win with a 43% probability, reflecting the contrasting recent performances of the teams. The model also sees a 51% chance that both teams will score and that there will be over 1.5 goals in the match, suggesting an open and potentially high-scoring encounter.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chertsey Town | Carshalton Athletic | 1 - 1 | September 5, 2026 |
Carshalton Athletic Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Chertsey Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Dover | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Hanworth Villa | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Hampton & Richmond | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Bromley | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 2, 25 | Away | Wingate & Finchley | 3 - 2 | Loss |
Chertsey Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Carshalton Athletic | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Westfield (Surrey) | 4 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 28, 26 | Home | Chesham United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Hampton & Richmond | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | Wealdstone | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Egham Town | 1 - 4 | Win |
Predictions
Carshalton Athletic to win
This prediction indicates that Carshalton Athletic has a 42.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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