FA Cup
Match Analysis
Redditch United
Malvern Town
Redditch United
D
W
D
W
L
W
Malvern Town
D
L
L
D
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Redditch United is seen as the stronger side heading into this match, with a clear quality gap in their favor and better recent form compared to Malvern Town's struggles. The model predicts a home win with a 48% probability, which aligns with the perception of Redditch United's edge. Additionally, the model sees a good chance of more than one goal being scored (60% over 1.5 goals) and slightly favors over 2.5 goals (53%), reflecting Redditch United's attacking strength against Malvern Town's defensive issues. There are no market odds available to compare against these predictions.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malvern Town | Redditch United | 1 - 1 | September 5, 2026 |
| Redditch United | Malvern Town | 0 - 2 | July 4, 2023 |
Redditch United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Malvern Town | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 27, 26 | Home | Coventry United | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Long Eaton United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Evesham United | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Sep 13, 25 | Away | Buxton | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 25 | Home | Skegness Town | 5 - 0 | Win |
Malvern Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Home | Redditch United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Rushall Olympic | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 28, 26 | Away | Bromsgrove Sporting | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 10, 26 | Away | Worcester City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 25 | Home | Worcester Raiders | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| Jul 20, 25 | Home | Hereford | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.57% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Redditch United to win
This prediction indicates that Redditch United has a 48.18% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.42 %Most Likely Scorelines
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