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Taça de Portugal

Aug. 30, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Castrense Louletano
Castrense L W L L W L
Louletano L D D W D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Louletano Castrense 0 - 0 September 3, 2017

Castrense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 20, 25 Home Lusitânia Lourosa 0 - 5 Loss
Aug 31, 25 Home Quarteirense SAD 1 - 0 Win
Sep 22, 24 Away Moura 4 - 2 Loss
Sep 24, 23 Home Vila Meã 0 - 3 Loss
Sep 10, 23 Home Penedo Gordo 1 - 0 Win
Sep 11, 22 Away FC Serpa 3 - 0 Loss

Louletano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home CF Os Belenenses 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Oliveirense 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Vitória de Sernache 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Oliveira Hospital 2 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Atlético Malveira 1 - 1 Draw
May 10, 26 Home Vitória de Sernache 1 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.93% likelihood that both Castrense and Louletano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Louletano to win
This prediction indicates that Louletano has a 51.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.36 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.62% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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