Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Catania
Nuova Cosenza
Catania
L
D
W
L
D
D
Nuova Cosenza
L
L
D
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Catania | Nuova Cosenza | 2 - 0 | January 25, 2026 |
| Nuova Cosenza | Catania | 4 - 1 | September 14, 2025 |
Catania Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Parma | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Vicenza Virtus | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 27, 26 | Home | Ascoli | 2 - 1 | Win |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Ascoli | 4 - 0 | Loss |
| May 20, 26 | Home | Lecco | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Lecco | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Nuova Cosenza Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Audace Cerignola | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| May 6, 26 | Home | Casarano | 1 - 5 | Loss |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | Cavese | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Trapani 1905 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 13, 26 | Away | AZ Picerno | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 4, 26 | Home | Foggia | 1 - 0 | Win |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuova Cosenza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Catania | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.76% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Catania to win
This prediction indicates that Catania has a 45.97% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.43 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.8% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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