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Canadian Premier League

Aug. 16, 2026 VS

Match Analysis

Cavalry FC Forge
Cavalry FC W L D W W W
Forge W W W W W W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Forge Cavalry FC 1 - 0 May 31, 2026
Forge Cavalry FC 0 - 0 April 18, 2026
Forge Cavalry FC 0 - 1 November 2, 2025
Cavalry FC Forge 1 - 1 October 11, 2025
Cavalry FC Forge 4 - 1 August 30, 2025
Forge Cavalry FC 1 - 1 May 31, 2025

Cavalry FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Supra du Quebec 2 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Vancouver FC 1 - 0 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 4, 26 Away Atlético Ottawa 0 - 3 Win
Jun 10, 26 Away York United 1 - 5 Win
Jun 6, 26 Home HFX Wanderers FC 2 - 0 Win

Forge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away York United 1 - 3 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Supra du Quebec 1 - 2 Win
Jul 1, 26 Home Vancouver FC 3 - 2 Win
Jun 10, 26 Home HFX Wanderers FC 1 - 0 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away York United 1 - 4 Win
May 31, 26 Home Cavalry FC 1 - 0 Win

Canadian Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Forge 13 11 1 1 23 8 +15 34
2 Cavalry FC 14 9 3 2 25 8 +17 30

Predictions

Cavalry FC to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cavalry FC has a 40.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.84 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.96% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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