Canadian Premier League
Match Analysis
Cavalry FC
HFX Wanderers FC
Cavalry FC
W
W
L
W
W
W
HFX Wanderers FC
L
W
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cavalry FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 2 - 0 | June 6, 2026 |
| Cavalry FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 3 - 1 | September 13, 2025 |
| Cavalry FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 0 - 0 | August 9, 2025 |
| HFX Wanderers FC | Cavalry FC | 1 - 1 | June 14, 2025 |
| HFX Wanderers FC | Cavalry FC | 0 - 3 | May 10, 2025 |
| Cavalry FC | HFX Wanderers FC | 2 - 1 | October 12, 2024 |
Cavalry FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | York United | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | HFX Wanderers FC | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Forge | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| May 24, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 18, 26 | Away | Vancouver FC | 0 - 2 | Win |
| May 3, 26 | Away | Supra du Quebec | 0 - 1 | Win |
HFX Wanderers FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Atlético Ottawa | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Home | Pacific FC | 5 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 10, 26 | Away | Forge | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Away | Cavalry FC | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 30, 26 | Home | Vancouver FC | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 23, 26 | Home | York United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Canadian Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavalry FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 5 | +14 | 23 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers FC | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 12 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.01% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Cavalry FC to win
This prediction indicates that Cavalry FC has a 52.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.42 %Most Likely Scorelines
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