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Serie C - Girone C

Sept. 15, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Cavese Sorrento
Cavese W L W W D D
Sorrento W W D D L W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Cavese Sorrento 1 - 0 January 3, 2026
Sorrento Cavese 0 - 0 August 24, 2025
Cavese Sorrento 1 - 0 April 27, 2025
Sorrento Cavese 1 - 3 December 14, 2024

Cavese Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 28, 26 Home Audace Cerignola 3 - 1 Win
Aug 21, 26 Away Bari 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 6, 26 Away Juve Stabia 0 - 1 Win
Jul 30, 26 Home Sarnese 1 - 0 Win
Apr 26, 26 Home Nuova Cosenza 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Away Siracusa 1 - 1 Draw

Sorrento Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 29, 26 Home Crotone 1 - 0 Win
Aug 24, 26 Away Salernitana 1 - 2 Win
Apr 26, 26 Away AZ Picerno 0 - 0 Draw
Apr 19, 26 Home Atalanta II 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 12, 26 Away Potenza 3 - 0 Loss
Apr 6, 26 Home Team Altamura 2 - 0 Win

Serie C - Girone C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Sorrento 1 1 0 0 2 1 +1 3
10 Cavese 2 1 0 1 3 4 -1 3

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.96% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Cavese to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Cavese has a 40.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.66 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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