Ceara vs Cuiaba Sunday 16th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Ceara Cuiaba

Ceara W L D D L L

Cuiaba D L L D W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cuiaba	Ceara	0 - 2	April 4, 2026
Ceara	Cuiaba	1 - 1	October 16, 2022
Cuiaba	Ceara	0 - 0	June 18, 2022
Ceara	Cuiaba	1 - 0	November 7, 2021
Cuiaba	Ceara	2 - 2	July 11, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	São Bernardo	3 - 4	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	CRB	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	America Mineiro	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 13, 26	Home	Athletic Club	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Goias	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 28, 26	Away	Juventude	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 27, 26	Away	Sport Recife	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 23, 26	Home	Atletico Goianiense	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Away	Juventude	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	São Bernardo	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 2, 26	Home	America Mineiro	1 - 0	Win
Jun 25, 26	Home	Londrina	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
14	Cuiaba	20	5	10	5	15	15	0	25
16	Ceara	20	5	7	8	20	25	-5	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ceara has a 37.31% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.43 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.22% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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