Ceilândia vs Luverdense Saturday 20th June 2026 11:00 PM football predictions.

Ceilândia Luverdense

Ceilândia D D W L L W

Luverdense W D W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ceilândia	Luverdense	1 - 0	July 5, 2025
Luverdense	Ceilândia	2 - 2	May 10, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Away	Mixto	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Goiatuba EC	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	União Rondonópolis	2 - 3	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Capital Brasilia	2 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	CEOV Operário	0 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	CEOV Operário	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 7, 26	Home	Inhumas	4 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Brasiliense	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Aparecidense	1 - 0	Win
May 17, 26	Away	Primavera MG	1 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Gama	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	Gama	4 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
41	Luverdense	10	4	3	3	11	10	+1	15
62	Ceilândia	10	3	3	4	9	10	-1	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.27% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ceilândia will score 0 goals, and Luverdense will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 63.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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