Celje vs Mura Saturday 18th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Celje Mura

Celje L W W L L W

Mura L D L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Mura	Celje	0 - 2	April 19, 2026
Celje	Mura	5 - 1	February 14, 2026
Mura	Celje	2 - 1	October 26, 2025
Celje	Mura	3 - 0	August 10, 2025
Celje	Mura	2 - 1	April 13, 2025
Mura	Celje	0 - 0	February 16, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Home	HNK Hajduk Split	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Home	Shkendija	1 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Primorje	0 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Koper	1 - 2	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Bravo	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 26, 26	Home	Aluminij	5 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Sturm Graz	5 - 0	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Away	Ararat-Armenia	1 - 1	Draw
May 22, 26	Away	Radomlje	3 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Maribor	2 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Primorje	0 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Koper	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Mura	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Celje	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.88% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Celje has a 64.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.26 %

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