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Segunda División

Aug. 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Celta de Vigo II Castellón
Celta de Vigo II D W D W D D
Castellón W L D L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Celta de Vigo II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Cadiz 0 - 0 Draw
Aug 1, 26 Away Vizela 0 - 1 Win
Jul 25, 26 Away Lugo 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 20, 26 Home Ponferradina 4 - 1 Win
Jun 13, 26 Away Ponferradina 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home Europa Fc 2 - 2 Draw

Castellón Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 14, 26 Away Real Sociedad II 0 - 1 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Levante 1 - 3 Loss
Aug 7, 26 Away Hércules 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 31, 26 Away Alaves 3 - 0 Loss
Jul 29, 26 Away Girona 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Away Valencia 1 - 2 Win

Segunda División Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Castellón 1 1 0 0 1 0 +1 3
4 Celta de Vigo II 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 1

Predictions

Castellón to win
This prediction indicates that Castellón has a 51.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.50 %

Most Likely Scorelines

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