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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

June 6, 2026 3 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 1
Full Time

Match Analysis

Central Espanol Racing Montevideo
Central Espanol W L W W L W
Racing Montevideo D D W L D W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central Espanol Racing Montevideo 2 - 0 May 9, 2026
Central Espanol Racing Montevideo 1 - 2 September 10, 2022
Racing Montevideo Central Espanol 1 - 0 June 19, 2022
Central Espanol Racing Montevideo 1 - 1 March 20, 2022
Racing Montevideo Central Espanol 1 - 1 December 3, 2021
Central Espanol Racing Montevideo 0 - 0 December 1, 2021

Central Espanol Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 1, 26 Away Penarol 0 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Cerro 1 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Racing Montevideo 2 - 0 Win
May 3, 26 Away Boston River 2 - 1 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Home Cerro 3 - 1 Win

Racing Montevideo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Defensor Sporting 0 - 0 Draw
May 22, 26 Away Liverpool Montevideo 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Cerro Largo 1 - 0 Win
May 9, 26 Away Central Espanol 2 - 0 Loss
May 3, 26 Home Atletico Torque 1 - 1 Draw
Apr 26, 26 Away Cerro Largo 0 - 1 Win

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
2 Racing Montevideo 18 10 6 2 24 14 +10 36
4 Central Espanol 18 9 3 6 26 24 +2 30

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.92% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Central Espanol to win
This prediction indicates that Central Espanol has a 45.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.07 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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